PoliGovPoliGov › 2026 Forecast › West Virginia
West Virginia 2026 Election Forecast
Final forecast, published Nov 3, 2026, 6:12 AM ET · 1,000,000 simulated elections · Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026
In West Virginia, Shelley Moore Capito (R) was all but certain to win the Senate race, and Democrats were projected to win about 0.0 of West Virginia's 2 House seats (they held 0 before the election), according to PoliGov's final forecast for the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
See West Virginia on the interactive map →West Virginia Senate race
- Polling average: no general-election polls
- Expert ratings: R+22.0, the average of 12 forecasters — 40%
- Fundamentals: R+37.5 (partisan lean R+21, national environment, incumbency) — 60%
Open on the Senate forecast map →
West Virginia does not elect a governor in 2026.
West Virginia House races
West Virginia has 2 congressional districts. Democrats hold 0 and Republicans 2. The model projects about 0.0 Democratic and 2.0 Republican seats.
| District | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Margin | Dem win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WV-1Vince George vs. Carol Miller | Vince George | Carol Miller | Safe R | R+32.5 | 0% |
| WV-2Ace Parsi vs. Riley Moore | Ace Parsi | Riley Moore | Safe R | R+30.1 | 0% |
Open West Virginia on the House forecast map →
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How the model works: methodology. Forecasts are statistical estimates, not certainties or endorsements. Confirm your polling place and voting rules with your state or local election office.