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Washington 2026 Election Forecast
Final forecast, published Nov 3, 2026, 6:12 AM ET · 1,000,000 simulated elections · Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026
In Washington, Democrats were projected to win about 7.9 of Washington's 10 House seats (they held 8 before the election), according to PoliGov's final forecast for the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
See Washington on the interactive map →Washington has no U.S. Senate race in 2026.
Washington does not elect a governor in 2026.
Washington House races
Washington has 10 congressional districts. Democrats hold 8 and Republicans 2. The model projects about 7.9 Democratic and 2.1 Republican seats.
| District | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Margin | Dem win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WA-1Suzan DelBene vs. Mary Silva | Suzan DelBene | Mary Silva | Safe D | D+33.1 | 100% |
| WA-2Rick Larsen vs. Edwin Feller | Rick Larsen | Edwin Feller | Safe D | D+29.5 | 100% |
| WA-3Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs. John Braun | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez | John Braun | Lean D | D+6.7 | 88% |
| WA-4John Duresky vs. Amanda McKinney | John Duresky | Amanda McKinney | Safe R | R+17.2 | <1% |
| WA-5Carmela Conroy vs. Michael Baumgartner | Carmela Conroy | Michael Baumgartner | Likely R | R+12.1 | 4% |
| WA-6Emily Randall vs. Teresa Fox | Emily Randall | Teresa Fox | Safe D | D+27.1 | >99% |
| WA-7Pramila Jayapal vs. Nirav Sheth | Pramila Jayapal | Nirav Sheth | Safe D | D+61.9 | 100% |
| WA-8Kim Schrier vs. Spencer Meline | Kim Schrier | Spencer Meline | Safe D | D+18.7 | >99% |
| WA-9Adam Smith vs. Doug Basler | Adam Smith | Doug Basler | Safe D | D+41.5 | 100% |
| WA-10Marilyn Strickland vs. Chris Chung | Marilyn Strickland | Chris Chung | Safe D | D+25.9 | >99% |
District polls: WA-3: adjusted polling average R+1.1 (3 polls, newest 10/01/2026), 3% of the projection.
Open Washington on the House forecast map →
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How the model works: methodology. Forecasts are statistical estimates, not certainties or endorsements. Confirm your polling place and voting rules with your state or local election office.